成渝地区农田生产力的骤旱敏感性分析
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重庆师范大学

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中国博士后科学基金,国家自然科学基金项目(面上项目,重点项目,重大项目)


Sensitivity analysis of farmland productivity to flash droughts in the Region of Cheng-Yu
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Chongqing Normal University

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China Postdoctoral Science Foundation, China Postdoctoral Science Foundation

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    摘要:

    干旱是对农田生产力影响较大的气象灾害,且正在转化为“骤旱”。本研究以成渝地区农田生产力为研究对象,利用2000-2020年的土壤湿度(SMI)、总初级生产力(GPP)和农作物类型数据【研究气象灾害不要气象数据?】,基于游程理论和植被敏感指数分析了骤旱年份成渝地区农田生产力的骤旱敏感性。结果表明:1)成渝地区2010年骤旱持续时间和骤旱间隔总体较2006年更长,骤旱烈度和骤旱严重度总体较2006年高,两骤旱年份的骤旱次数差异较小,但在空间分布上有一定的差异;2)2006年成渝地区高敏感性农田集中分布在绵阳、成都、资阳等地区,其余地区为中敏感度和低敏感度农田,2010年则呈明显的“西高东低”格局。;3)水稻型农田生产力对骤旱的敏感性平均值较低,两骤旱年份农田生产力敏感性最高的农田类型均为其他农作物型农田;4)骤旱持续时间和骤旱烈度是影响农田敏感性的主要因素。研究结果可深化骤旱对农田生产力影响的认知,为成渝地区骤旱防治和农业结构调整提供科学支撑。

    Abstract:

    Drought is a meteorological disaster that has a large impact on farmland productivity and is transforming into “flash drouhgts”. In this study, we analyzed the flash drouhgts sensitivity of farmland productivity in the Region of Cheng-Yu during the year of flash drouhgts based on the travel theory and vegetation sensitivity index by using the data of soil moisture (SMI), gross primary productivity (GPP) and crop types from 2000 to 2020. The results show that:1) the duration of flash droughts and the interval between flash droughts in the Region of Cheng-Yu in 2010 were longer than that in 2006, the intensity of flash droughts and the severity of flash droughts were higher than that in 2006, and the difference in the number of flash droughts in the two flash droughts years was small, but there were some differences in spatial distribution; 2) in 2006, the high sensitivity of farmland in the Region of Cheng-Yu was centrally located in the areas of Mianyang, Chengdu, and Ziyang, while the rest of the area was medium-sensitive and low-sensitive farmland. and low-sensitivity farmland in the rest of the region, while in 2010 there was a clear pattern of “high in the west and low in the east”. In 2010, there was a clear pattern of “high in the west and low in the east”; 3) the average sensitivity of rice-type farmland productivity to flash droughts was low, and the types of farmland with the highest sensitivity to productivity in the two years of flash droughts were all other crop-type farmland; and 4) the duration of sudden drought and the severity of flash droughts were the main factors affecting the sensitivity of farmland. The results of this study can deepen the understanding of the impact of flash droughts on farmland productivity, and provide scientific support for the prevention and control of flash droughts and agricultural structure adjustment in the Region of Cheng-Yu

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  • 收稿日期:2024-11-18
  • 最后修改日期:2025-03-10
  • 录用日期:2025-04-15
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