基于相对阈值法的重庆市高温热浪时空变化规律研究
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国家自然科学基金青年科学基金项目(No.42201045);重庆市教育委员会科学技术研究计划重点项目(No.KJZDK202400501)


Spatiotemporal Changes in Heat Waves Based on the Relative Threshold of Daily Maximum Temperature in Chongqing Muncipality
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    摘要:

    有效识别高温热浪,对认识及应对极端天气具有重要意义。基于1961—2022年重庆市33个气象站的资料,采用日最高气温阈值识别高温热浪,结合热浪指数、最高温度等指标,全面分析重庆市高温热浪的时空变化,并剖析其中典型高温热浪的发生过程。结果显示:1) 重庆市高温热浪的年平均热浪指数为2.2~7.5,年平均最高温度为36.3~41.3 ℃,二者均呈“西部和东北部高、东南部低”的分布格局;高温热浪的年平均开始日期为7月12日—8月12日,年平均结束日期为8月2日—8月19日,年平均持续时间为4.9~7 d,总体表现出中、西部晚于东南部的格局。2) 在1961—2022年,重庆市高温热浪的数量总体呈增加趋势、热浪指数和最高温度总体呈上升趋势,在1990年代后这种增加(或上升)趋势尤为明显;高温热浪的开始日期与结束日期均有所延后,单次高温热浪的持续时间由4~5 d增加至6~8 d。3) 2022年重庆市发生的典型高温热浪的平均热浪指数为36.1,平均最高温度为42.5 ℃,平均持续时间为21 d且集中于8月中旬。研究结果揭示了重庆市高温热浪的时空变化规律,为重庆市今后的高温热浪灾害防治工作提供了参考资料。

    Abstract:

    Accurate identification of heat waves holds significant importance for understanding and addressing extreme weather phenomena. Utilizing data from 33 meteorological stations in Chongqing municipality spanning 1961-2022, a daily maximum temperature threshold is employed to identify heat waves, comprehensive analyses of spatiotemporal changes in heat waves are conducted through the integration of key metrics such as the heat wave magnitude index and maximum temperature, while the evolutionary process of representative heat waves is also dissected. Key findings include: 1) The annual average heat wave magnitude index in Chongqing Muncipality ranges from 2.2 to 7.5, with the annual average maximum temperatures oscillating between 36.3 to 41.3 ℃. Both metrics show higher values in the west and northeast, contrasting with lower values in the east. The annual average start time for these heat waves lies between July 12th and August 12th, with the annual average end time ranging from August 2nd to August 19th. The annual average duration of these heat waves was found to be 4.9~7 days. The central and western regions typically experienced these events later than the southeastern areas. 2) From 1961 to 2022, there has been an overall increase in the number of heat waves, the average heat wave magnitude index, and the average maximum temperature in Chongqing Muncipality. This upward trend has became pronounced since the 1990s. The onset and end times of these heat waves have also shifted later. Furthermore, the duration of a single heatwave has increased from 4~5 days to 6~8 days. 3) In 2022, the average heat wave magnitude index of typical heatwaves occurring in Chongqing Muncipality was 36.1, with an average maximum temperature reaching a staggering 42.5 ℃. Heat waves lasted on average for 21 days, typically concentrated in mid-August. The results reveal the spatiotemporal variation patterns of heatwaves in Chongqing Muncipality, providing references for future heatwave disaster prevention and control.

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周琨鸿,王跃峰,尹思危,刘帆,杨琴.基于相对阈值法的重庆市高温热浪时空变化规律研究[J].重庆师范大学学报自然科学版,2025,42(4):70-82

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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-10-11