基于Google Earth Engine的黑龙江省平原区积雪变化对土壤湿度的影响研究
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P426.68

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国家自然科学基金青年科学基金项目(No.42171333)


Study on the Impact of Snowmelt Changes on Soil Moisture in Plain Areas of Heilongjiang Province Based on Google Earth Engine
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    摘要:

    为揭示黑龙江省平原区域积雪对不同深度土壤湿度的补给效应,本研究基于Google Earth Engine平台利用1960—2024年ERA5-Land长时序数据,对比分析了黑龙江省三江平原与松嫩平原雪水当量及土壤湿度的演变特征。综合采用Mann-Kendall检验、Pearson相关分析、多元线性回归及随机森林模型,解析了各气象因子对土壤湿度的驱动机制。结果表明:1960—2024年三江平原和松嫩平原的雪水当量与土壤湿度均呈明显下降趋势;Pearson相关分析结果显示三江平原的雪水当量与深层土壤湿度呈统计学意义上的的正相关( r =0.55, p <0.01),而松嫩平原的这2个因子的相关性相对较弱( r =0.42, p <0.01);多元线性回归与随机森林模型分析结果一致表明,随着土壤深度增加,积雪对水分的驱动贡献率明显上升。在深层土壤湿度水分变化中,雪水当量是最核心的驱动因子,它的重要性权重远超降水与气温;随机森林模型在各层位的模拟精度均优于线性回归。研究结果证实了冬季积雪对春季深层土壤水分的关键补给作用,可为东北黑土地保护及旱情监测提供科学依据。

    Abstract:

    To reveal the recharge effects of snowmelt on soil moisture at different depths in plain regions of Heilongjiang Province, this study utilized long-term ERA5-Land data from 1960 to 2024 on the Google Earth Engine platform, comparing and analyzing the spatiotemporal evolution characteristics of snow water equivalent (SWE) and soil moisture in the Sanjiang Plain and Songnen Plain. By integrating Mann-Kendall tests, Pearson correlation analysis, multiple linear regression, and random forest models, we examined the driving mechanisms of various meteorological factors on soil moisture. Results show that both SWE and soil moisture in the Sanjiang and Songnen Plains exhibited significant declining trends from 1960 to 2024. Pearson correlation analysis indicated a statistically significant positive correlation between SWE and deep soil moisture in the Sanjiang Plain ( r =0.55, p <0.01), whereas the correlation was relatively weaker in the Songnen Plain ( r =0.42, p <0.01). Both multiple linear regression and random forest models consistently demonstrated that the contribution of snowmelt to soil moisture increases significantly with increasing soil depth. In the variation of deep soil moisture, snow water equivalent is the most critical driving factor, with its importance far exceeding that of precipitation and temperature. The random forest model demonstrated higher simulation accuracy across all soil layers compared to linear regression. The study confirms the key role of winter snowmelt in replenishing springtime deep soil moisture, providing scientific support for the protection of Northeast China’s black soil and drought monitoring.

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朱龙,冯晓楠,武黎黎,王凤文,牛国宝,谷承思.基于Google Earth Engine的黑龙江省平原区积雪变化对土壤湿度的影响研究[J].重庆师范大学学报自然科学版,2026,43(3):118-130

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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-07-14
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